Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
1 Louisville 100.0%   1   29 - 5 14 - 4 29 - 5 14 - 4 +21.0      +8.3 15 +12.7 1 69.8 119 +19.1 2 +16.9 3
8 Pittsburgh 99.5%   7   24 - 8 12 - 6 24 - 8 12 - 6 +16.4      +9.1 11 +7.4 22 55.9 341 +13.3 23 +13.8 4
11 Syracuse 100.0%   4   26 - 9 11 - 7 26 - 9 11 - 7 +15.3      +8.1 20 +7.1 23 67.7 164 +15.3 13 +13.5 5
13 Georgetown 100.0%   3   25 - 6 14 - 4 25 - 6 14 - 4 +15.2      +3.9 75 +11.3 3 59.8 313 +17.3 8 +17.8 2
22 Marquette 100.0%   4   23 - 8 14 - 4 23 - 8 14 - 4 +12.9      +8.3 16 +4.6 57 64.5 240 +14.9 15 +18.1 1
30 Notre Dame 99.7%   6   25 - 9 11 - 7 25 - 9 11 - 7 +12.2      +8.5 12 +3.6 81 59.5 316 +13.8 20 +12.8 6
38 Cincinnati 97.7%   9   22 - 11 9 - 9 22 - 11 9 - 9 +11.2      +2.4 116 +8.8 8 67.5 171 +11.5 37 +9.8 10
49 Villanova 86.2%   10   19 - 13 10 - 8 19 - 13 10 - 8 +10.0      +2.5 112 +7.4 20 71.4 88 +9.8 50 +11.6 7
51 Connecticut 0.0%   20 - 10 10 - 8 20 - 10 10 - 8 +9.8      +5.0 57 +4.8 49 65.9 207 +11.4 39 +10.4 8
63 Providence 0.5%   17 - 14 9 - 9 17 - 14 9 - 9 +7.8      +3.5 83 +4.2 64 67.7 165 +6.7 76 +9.9 9
97 St. John's 0.0%   16 - 15 8 - 10 16 - 15 8 - 10 +4.8      -1.8 220 +6.6 31 70.8 103 +6.0 83 +8.2 11
98 Rutgers 0.0%   15 - 16 5 - 13 15 - 16 5 - 13 +4.8      +3.3 88 +1.4 127 65.2 225 +5.4 90 +3.6 12
113 Seton Hall 0.0%   15 - 18 3 - 15 15 - 18 3 - 15 +3.8      +1.1 148 +2.6 99 65.3 223 +3.8 112 -0.1 14
124 South Florida 0.0%   12 - 19 3 - 15 12 - 19 3 - 15 +2.8      +1.1 149 +1.7 122 56.2 340 +2.5 131 +0.8 13
165 DePaul 0.0%   11 - 21 2 - 16 11 - 21 2 - 16 0.0      +2.1 121 -2.1 237 83.6 2 -0.8 186 -2.6 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th
Louisville 1.0 100.0
Pittsburgh 4.0 100.0
Syracuse 5.0 100.0
Georgetown 1.0 100.0
Marquette 1.0 100.0
Notre Dame 5.0 100.0
Cincinnati 9.0 100.0
Villanova 7.0 100.0
Connecticut 7.0 100.0
Providence 9.0 100.0
St. John's 11.0 100.0
Rutgers 12.0 100.0
Seton Hall 13.0 100.0
South Florida 13.0 100.0
DePaul 15.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Louisville 14 - 4 100.0
Pittsburgh 12 - 6 100.0
Syracuse 11 - 7 100.0
Georgetown 14 - 4 100.0
Marquette 14 - 4 100.0
Notre Dame 11 - 7 100.0
Cincinnati 9 - 9 100.0
Villanova 10 - 8 100.0
Connecticut 10 - 8 100.0
Providence 9 - 9 100.0
St. John's 8 - 10 100.0
Rutgers 5 - 13 100.0
Seton Hall 3 - 15 100.0
South Florida 3 - 15 100.0
DePaul 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Louisville 100.0% 100.0
Pittsburgh
Syracuse
Georgetown 100.0% 100.0
Marquette 100.0% 100.0
Notre Dame
Cincinnati
Villanova
Connecticut
Providence
St. John's
Rutgers
Seton Hall
South Florida
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Louisville 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   73.0 25.5 1.5
Pittsburgh 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 7   0.3 2.4 12.8 23.8 40.6 15.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 0.5 99.5%
Syracuse 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.7 3.1 37.5 45.7 12.2 0.8 0.0 100.0%
Georgetown 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   14.5 39.5 42.5 3.5 0.0 100.0%
Marquette 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.1 0.8 22.5 50.0 24.1 2.5 0.0 100.0%
Notre Dame 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 6   0.0 0.6 9.3 32.5 42.6 12.7 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.3 99.7%
Cincinnati 97.7% 0.0% 97.7% 9   0.0 0.4 5.6 28.2 37.0 21.8 4.5 0.2 2.3 97.7%
Villanova 86.2% 0.0% 86.2% 10   0.2 6.4 17.0 29.5 26.6 6.5 0.0 13.8 86.2%
Connecticut 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Providence 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4 0.1 99.5 0.5%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seton Hall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Louisville 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.4% 79.7% 60.6% 42.4% 28.3% 18.2%
Pittsburgh 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 71.1% 37.2% 21.2% 10.8% 5.2% 2.4%
Syracuse 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 82.6% 51.7% 24.2% 11.7% 5.2% 2.1%
Georgetown 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.6% 56.4% 29.1% 13.2% 5.8% 2.3%
Marquette 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 71.8% 37.1% 14.0% 5.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Notre Dame 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 55.2% 20.7% 8.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Cincinnati 97.7% 0.2% 97.7% 46.2% 13.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Villanova 86.2% 6.0% 83.3% 33.5% 9.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Connecticut 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seton Hall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.8 0.3 16.3 83.1 0.4
1st Round 100.0% 7.8 0.3 19.2 80.3 0.2
2nd Round 100.0% 5.5 0.0 0.4 3.5 14.3 30.8 33.0 15.5 2.4 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.3% 3.1 0.7 6.6 24.1 34.8 24.4 8.1 1.2 0.1
Elite Eight 90.7% 1.7 9.3 36.0 37.2 14.8 2.5 0.2 0.0
Final Four 68.9% 0.9 31.1 50.3 16.8 1.8 0.0
Final Game 44.3% 0.5 55.7 40.6 3.8
Champion 26.2% 0.3 73.9 26.2